Could the Communist Party of China simply dissolve of its own accord? If so, what would a post-CCP world look like? Risk management strategist and author Fan Chou guides readers through the new world order that could emerge as various actors respond to a post-CCP power vacuum.
The prospects of the collapse of China, or, alternatively, Taiwan being subsumed under communist China’s autocratic rule, have been perennial topics of geopolitical debate for over three decades. Given current trends in world affairs, and the lessons learned from the dissolution of the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia, it is once again time to question how long China can withstand the unprecedented internal and external pressures it currently faces.
This analysis of the dissolution of China’s political regime begins with an assessment of various measures of fiscal health, concluding that the CCP’s fiscal framework for maintaining political power has already substantially weakened. Attention then turns to the obstacles and incentives presented by various internal, external, regional, and international factors that will influence outcomes in a post-CCP China, with a focus on how China’s internal politics will likely evolve in response, and what form the resulting post-CCP political structure will take. Finally, the author develops a “prognostic strategy” for Taiwan consisting of domestic, foreign, defense, and economic policies that will allow Taiwan to optimally prepare for and respond to a post-CCP world.
Adopting the macro perspective, author and political strategist Fan Chou applies his impressive depth of knowledge to the problem of predicting the political future of China, Taiwan, and the world. Convinced of the inevitable dissolution of the CCP, he walks readers through the most plausible scenarios and geopolitical responses, helping them to understand what to expect from this monumental shift in the world order.